TPCF-5
START DATE
1 June 2026
END DATE
3 June 2026
LOCATION
Online
General Documents
Concensus Statement
Presentations
Day 1: Monday, June 1, 2026
Session 1: Welcome and Introductions: Opening Remarks and TPCF in support of implementing WMO priorities
Chair: Mr Shahzad Sultan (PMD)
Rapporteur: Mr Sabeer Ali (IMD)
Chair: Mr Shahzad Sultan (PMD)
Rapporteur: Mr Sabeer Ali (IMD)
- Recent Advances in Glacial Lake Monitoring, Risk Assessment, and Early Warning of Glacial Lake Outburst Floods in the Himalaya, Mr Guoqing Zhang (Xizang University, China/TPE)
- Status and climate services of TPRCC-Network, Ms Lijuan Ma (NCC/CMA)
Session 2: Climate review for the past season, incl. extreme events, and regional challenges caused by cryospheric changes
Chair: Mr Pengling Wang (NCC/CMA)
Rapporteur: Mr Sohail Babar Cheema (PMD)
Chair: Mr Pengling Wang (NCC/CMA)
Rapporteur: Mr Sohail Babar Cheema (PMD)
- Climate review: DJF 2025/26 – SAT, precipitation, snow cover, extremes. Mr Guowei Yang (NCC/CMA)
- The current climate conditions and national outlook for JJAS 2026 in Kazakhstan, Ms. Nuraily Kuzhageldina
- High-impact events (DJF 2025/26) floods, drought, heatwaves, cold waves, Dzud, avalanches. Ms Mingzhu Yang (NCC/CMA)
- Extreme or High-Impact Events in Mongolia, Purevdagva Khalzan (Mongolia)
- Impacts of Climate Change on Hindu Kush Himalayan Glaciers and Emerging Cryospheric Hazards, Mr Sudan Bikash Maharjan (ICIMOD)
- High-Resolution Mapping of Glacial Lakes in Central Asia Using PlanetScope and Google Earth Engine: New Algorithm and Comprehensive Inventory, Ms Maria Shahgedanova and Qiao Li (MRI University of Reading)
Day 2: Tuesday, 2 June 2026
Session 3: Verification of DJF 2025/26 Outlook & JJAS 2026 Seasonal Outlook
Chair: Mr Vijay Kumar Soni (IMD)
Rapporteur: Mr Daquan Zhang (NCC/CMA)
Chair: Mr Vijay Kumar Soni (IMD)
Rapporteur: Mr Daquan Zhang (NCC/CMA)
- Verification of DJF 2025/26 outlook – model performance, hits & misses., Mr Jingpeng Liu (NCC/CMA)
- Guiding Q: What were the key successes and failures of the DJF 2025/26 outlook, and how can model performance be improved going forward? Mr Gohar Ali (PMD)
- Operationalization of Objective Seasonal Forecasts and Sectoral Products on Sub-Regional Scales, Mr Wilfran Moufouma Okia (WMO - TBC)
- JJAS 2026 Outlook for the TP Region, MME approach: Contributions from FOCRAII, SASCOF, and NEACOF on High Mountain Asia (HMA), Mr Xiang Li (FOCRAII)
- Summer prediction insights for the Third Pole region from the FOCRAII perspective., Mr Sreejith OP (SASCOF)
- Summer prediction insights for the Third Pole region from the SASCOF perspective, Ms Elena Nabokova (NEACOF)
- WMO-LC outlook for the upcoming summer season JJA 2026, Mr Jeongmin Han (APCC)
- Climate Outlook for TP region JJAS-2026, Mr Jingpeng Liu (NCC/CMA)
Session 4 Impact-Based Forecast
Chair: Ms Leila Salarpour Goodarzi (UNESCAP)
Rapporteur: Ms Maria Shahgedanova (MRI)
Chair: Ms Leila Salarpour Goodarzi (UNESCAP)
Rapporteur: Ms Maria Shahgedanova (MRI)
- Composite flood risk assessment for third pole region JJAS 2026, Ms Parvathy Subha (UNESCAP)
- Hydrological Forecasting in the Third Pole Region under Changing Cryosphere, Ms Xianhong Meng (NIEER/CAS, China)
Day 3 – Wednesday, 3 June 2026
Session 5: Consensus Statement and User-Provider Dialogue
Chair: Ms Lijuan Ma (NCC/CMA)
Rapporteur: Mr Sohail Babar Cheema (PMD)
Chair: Ms Lijuan Ma (NCC/CMA)
Rapporteur: Mr Sohail Babar Cheema (PMD)
Session 6: Way Forward and recommendations
Chair: Mr Furrukh Bashir (Director R&D PMD)
Rapporteur: Ms Sarah Diouf (WMO - TBC)
Chair: Mr Furrukh Bashir (Director R&D PMD)
Rapporteur: Ms Sarah Diouf (WMO - TBC)