MME Prediction
Table 1. Skills scoring matrix of MME deterministic prediction for temperature in each month, with one-month leading time
Scores Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec.
2025 ACC 0.368 0.104 -0.089 0.354 -0.071 0.334 0.683 0.067 0.209 0.047 0.197 0.472
IoA 0.441 0.382 0.392 0.490 0.370 0.379 0.626 0.385 0.291 0.343 0.201 0.481
RMSE 1.791 1.684 1.730 1.591 1.707 1.434 1.046 0.977 1.010 2.240 1.820 1.905
2026 ACC 0.218 0.300 0.121 0.113 0.340 0.467
IoA 0.350 0.460 0.391 0.457 0.322 0.309
RMSE 1.666 2.231 1.560 1.834 1.037 1.591
2027
Table 2. Skills scoring matrix of MME deterministic prediction for precipitation in each month, with one-month leading time
Scores Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May Jun. Jul. Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec.
2025 ACC 0.110 0.187 -0.079 0.265 0.074 -0.103 -0.166 -0.072 0.029 0.038 0.265 -0.496
IoA 0.220 0.281 0.129 0.236 0.201 0.197 0.103 0.312 0.335 0.244 0.299 0.192
RMSE 0.271 0.514 0.436 0.616 1.637 1.242 2.026 1.975 1.320 1.210 0.570 0.410
2026 ACC 0.150 0.150 0.188 -0.123 -0.119 0.138
IoA 0.143 0.202 0.288 0.238 0.131 0.176
RMSE 0.396 0.480 1.782 1.150 1.284 1.536
2027
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